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Average Nasdaq-100 return

Over the last 10 years the Nasdaq-100 has returned +21.2% a year (CAGR) with dividends reinvested — +20.3% from price alone, and +17.3% after inflation. Since 2000 the annualized figure is +10.7%. Every standard window, through Oct 5, 2026:

WindowSinceTotal return /yrPrice only /yrDividends /yrAfter inflation /yr
1 yearOct 6, 2025+25.12%+24.53%+0.59%+21.85%
3 yearsOct 6, 2023+28.26%+27.54%+0.72%+24.81%
5 yearsOct 5, 2021+16.87%+16.17%+0.70%+12.55%
10 yearsOct 5, 2016+21.17%+20.34%+0.84%+17.32%
15 yearsOct 6, 2011+20.11%+19.18%+0.93%+17.04%
20 yearsOct 5, 2006+16.29%+15.62%+0.68%+13.40%
27.6 years (all data)Mar 10, 1999+10.74%+10.27%+0.47%+7.94%

Annualized (CAGR) from QQQ daily closes at exact anniversary dates; inflation adjustment uses CPI (CPIAUCSL). The dividends column is the reinvested-dividend contribution — total return minus price return.

The years behind the average#

“Average” hides how lumpy the ride is: across 26 full calendar years, the market finished positive 77% of the time, with a best year of +54.9% (2023) and a worst of -41.9% (2008). The arithmetic mean of single years is +12.2% and the median +18.7% — but compounding through the crashes brings the realized annualized return to +10.7%. Almost no individual year lands near the average.

See each year individually on Nasdaq-100 returns by year, or check this year's YTD so far.

More on Nasdaq-100