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Average Japanese Stock Market return

Over the last 10 years the Japanese Stock Market has returned +9.2% a year (CAGR) with dividends reinvested — +7.1% from price alone, and +5.7% after inflation. Since 1997 the annualized figure is +2.8%. Every standard window, through Oct 2, 2026:

WindowSinceTotal return /yrPrice only /yrDividends /yrAfter inflation /yr
1 yearOct 2, 2025+28.75%+23.44%+5.32%+25.40%
3 yearsOct 3, 2023+22.50%+18.99%+3.50%+19.20%
5 yearsOct 4, 2021+10.39%+7.80%+2.60%+6.31%
10 yearsOct 3, 2016+9.22%+7.06%+2.15%+5.74%
15 yearsOct 3, 2011+8.71%+6.73%+1.98%+5.93%
20 yearsOct 2, 2006+4.79%+3.00%+1.79%+2.18%
30 yearsOct 2, 1996+3.11%+1.75%+1.36%+0.57%
30.5 years (all data)Apr 2, 1996+2.81%+1.48%+1.33%+0.28%

Annualized (CAGR) from EWJ daily closes at exact anniversary dates; inflation adjustment uses CPI (CPIAUCSL). The dividends column is the reinvested-dividend contribution — total return minus price return.

The years behind the average#

“Average” hides how lumpy the ride is: across 29 full calendar years, the market finished positive 66% of the time, with a best year of +60.9% (1999) and a worst of -30.3% (2001). The arithmetic mean of single years is +5.0% and the median +5.9% — but compounding through the crashes brings the realized annualized return to +2.8%. Almost no individual year lands near the average.

See each year individually on Japanese Stock Market returns by year, or check this year's YTD so far.

More on Japanese Stock Market